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Oct 6, 2012
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if the other polls back up rasmussen and again we site rasmussen because they are the most accurate last time around and the time before that. that was an instant wing. i'm not going to say that will hold because there are a lot of things that could happen however, it shows a lot of people are paying attention right now. >> a lot of people are at paying attention. a lot of people watching the debate than in '08. >> 80 million people saw that debate. that doesn't count on the internet and other things like c-span. >> yeah. so people are very engaged. and they were watching that and clearly romney dominated in that debate. the president did very badly. i wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of change in the polls. but i think you hit on the most important thing, which is does this last? it will probably last until the next debate. >> numbers get to with lou dobbs going to help president obama. >> bill: what about the race deal? cookie stuff, we know where it comes from and who is generating it. we don't take it seriously. it is so far out there. these people, i guess they believe what th
if the other polls back up rasmussen and again we site rasmussen because they are the most accurate last time around and the time before that. that was an instant wing. i'm not going to say that will hold because there are a lot of things that could happen however, it shows a lot of people are paying attention right now. >> a lot of people are at paying attention. a lot of people watching the debate than in '08. >> 80 million people saw that debate. that doesn't count on the...
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Oct 4, 2012
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rasmussen has him pretty much tied if you have the margin of error put in. >> that's mind boggling. >> bill: the point is well taken. with the press rooting for the president and with the money that the president has on attack ads for romney still to be close but the problem is in places like ohio and falling behind and ba ba ba ba ba. everybody thinks i'm crazy. down the line. rove, kirsten powers. leslie marshall, the whole bunch. i come out and show a little emotion. you know what? i hope americans know how bad this country, what kind of shape we are in now. i hope they understand that here the economy is awful and overseas they don't know what they are doing over there i just think that that would work with the independents. and everybody says oh no, no, no, no, no. he has to come in and very senatorial. i don't know. i don't know if that's going to cut it tonight. >> listen, i don't think he has ever been a senator. has he? >> senatorial is a word, miller. it's a word --ward of the day. >> he can't bring that video up and he doesn't have to. that video is going to resonate. it's
rasmussen has him pretty much tied if you have the margin of error put in. >> that's mind boggling. >> bill: the point is well taken. with the press rooting for the president and with the money that the president has on attack ads for romney still to be close but the problem is in places like ohio and falling behind and ba ba ba ba ba. everybody thinks i'm crazy. down the line. rove, kirsten powers. leslie marshall, the whole bunch. i come out and show a little emotion. you know...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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what rasmussen was saying last week. give me sunday morning or monday because you need three days of rolling averages to really reflect something that is accurate. but, tony, what gallup is putting out today, they put a post-debate performance question, and they had never seen in their history before seen such a jump or such a one-sided victory going back to 1992, 20 years ago. >> absolutely, bill. this was a game ink thatting moment without a doubt. even the focus groups taken that night were giving results that commentators were saying, we've done focus groups since the beginning of election. never has there been confirmed affirmative support of one candidate as a result of one performance. this is exactly why right now you see the president of and his campaign starting to grasp for straws. they're getting to the point they're getting a little desperate. trying to create this impression mitt romney lied his way through the debate. only one party says one thing or another that might not be totally factually true. you ha
what rasmussen was saying last week. give me sunday morning or monday because you need three days of rolling averages to really reflect something that is accurate. but, tony, what gallup is putting out today, they put a post-debate performance question, and they had never seen in their history before seen such a jump or such a one-sided victory going back to 1992, 20 years ago. >> absolutely, bill. this was a game ink thatting moment without a doubt. even the focus groups taken that night...
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Oct 2, 2012
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definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten. this will be a closer race in all likelihood as we get closer to election day one senses though that look an incumbent running with a record like this with the economy in such serious shape many people predicting recession with all this trouble he he has been having overseas, with all of that he he ought to be in a lot of trouble. it's surprising to many people that he is ahead. we keep thinking something will happen. is he is not a great politician but seems honorable and decent enough man that if the people were ready to make a change they would not have a lot of trouble settling on
definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten....
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Oct 5, 2012
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scott rasmussen and charlottesville dr. larry sabato teaches politics at the university of virginia. already, doctor, poll bounce? what's your prediction? >> i think governor romney's excellent performance is going to move the needle a couple of points. i don't think it's going to be a giant poll bounce to a single debate. the key is whether he continues showing his stuff in the remaining two presidential debates. >> bill: so beckel says 6 or 7 points. you say much less than that in the polls? >> for a single debate performance, yes. and, remember, bounce is always fade. they tend to be sustained. if you sustain your performance. that is the challenge governor romney has. >> bill: all right, scott. you are polling right now, right? >> absolutely. and when will your first national poll that reflects the debate be out? >> first national poll done after the debate comes out next sunday morning. next couple of days get a hint where it is moving. >> bill: do you want to predict where it's going? >> the president was ahead a coup
scott rasmussen and charlottesville dr. larry sabato teaches politics at the university of virginia. already, doctor, poll bounce? what's your prediction? >> i think governor romney's excellent performance is going to move the needle a couple of points. i don't think it's going to be a giant poll bounce to a single debate. the key is whether he continues showing his stuff in the remaining two presidential debates. >> bill: so beckel says 6 or 7 points. you say much less than that in...
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Oct 5, 2012
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rasmussen has been slightly divergent from some of the polling -- jenna: you really know your numbers, julian. they tell us only so much, as you mentioned. being on the ground there with the appearances by both governor romney and the president, they've been to the state often, i mentioned the president 44 times as president, do these appearances really matter? do you think they're really having an impact on the ground there? >> well, as you said earlier, i mean, they excite the base. those people who are eager, who are partisans on the republican side or the democratic side, those are the people who turn up to campaign appearances. you noted the number of visits by both presidential nominees. it is also important to note that governor romney chose norfolk in august to roll out and introduce paul ryan of wisconsin as his running mate. in addition, when the president formally kicked off his re-election campaign in may, he chose virginia and ohio to do his kind of introductory campaign rallieses as well. so -- rallies as well. so those two visits in and of themselves show the priority t
rasmussen has been slightly divergent from some of the polling -- jenna: you really know your numbers, julian. they tell us only so much, as you mentioned. being on the ground there with the appearances by both governor romney and the president, they've been to the state often, i mentioned the president 44 times as president, do these appearances really matter? do you think they're really having an impact on the ground there? >> well, as you said earlier, i mean, they excite the base....
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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politics, the race for the white house, tightening, and three key swing states according to the latest rasmussen poll, taken after wednesday night's debate, the governor leads president obama in florida and virginia and the president maintains his lead in ohio. so, what are some of the biggest deciding factors for voters in these states? an advisor to democratic senator bob casey and former staffer for democratic governor ed rendell and brad blakeman, a former assistant to president george w. bush. good to see both of you. >> good to see you. >> arthel: we'll dissect it state by state and, florida, it could come down to florida, you have the heavily courted hispanic mayor deeply divided along party lines and strengths and challenges we'll talk about for the president and governor in florida. donna, you start. >> well, i mean, i think it has been accurately voted that florida now qualifies as a purple state because of the divisions you cited. and i think the president's message has gained traction in florida, but i also think that the very stringent voter i.d. laws in florida hafner jiezed some s
politics, the race for the white house, tightening, and three key swing states according to the latest rasmussen poll, taken after wednesday night's debate, the governor leads president obama in florida and virginia and the president maintains his lead in ohio. so, what are some of the biggest deciding factors for voters in these states? an advisor to democratic senator bob casey and former staffer for democratic governor ed rendell and brad blakeman, a former assistant to president george w....
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote for. these debates are for the undecided it is a huge chunk of the population. other than voters turn out of the base. that will turn the election>> eric: that is 10-20 percent of the undisguisable and persuadable. throw that poll up one more second. in the bottom of that. likely voters. those are the polls that are most accurate and go after the likely voters . not just people who poll random people. >> steve: you and i talked about george washington university. they do a battle ground poll . barak 49 percent x. romney 47. and now he leads by 4 in the independents which is a better number
rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have. obama at 265, five shy of what you have to get and romney at 191. i would say the polls and that electoral map is the best thing that could happen to romney. when it was a tie race, his natural instinct to play it safe overrode everything. now this is no doubt that he is behind, not fatally behind as pat and doug said, but he is behind the he has to change course. obviously, wednesday night is the last opportunity to change course. i think he started changing last week, took all of the ads off, put a new ad in, just himself, talking to the american people. >>gregg: let's lay the new
rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have....
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Oct 8, 2012
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looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or august 22nd prediction they said the same thing. but romney picked up five more points. >> steve: what they do. they look at economics of what is going on nationally and local and state level . they look at wealth and they look at unemployment and all sorts of stuff. they predict mitt romney will win these states. new mexico and that is new since they updated it and, north carolina and win virginia ohio new hampshire colorado, wisconsin and ohio and florida and barack will win michigan and nevada. >> gretchen: i don't think that romney will win
looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or...
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Oct 2, 2012
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rasmussen poll that the voters stands on the repeal of the health care law. 52 percent. 42 percent say bother. >> i am not surprised. the health care law lost popularity in the political campaign. but it is going to require a republican president and congress to undo the individual man date. if you are thinking can the supreme court rivisit the individual man date they can but probably won't. they >> gretchen: we could see more of the cases coming to them because of the 2700 pages. >> absolutely and soon maybe 2700 different cases out >> gretchen: and you will look at all of them. have a great day. before you get on a plane, prime target for terrorist and about to meet the team whose job it is to cope them out. it is it a busy morning in "fox and friends". barry sanders and why he's switching to be a mitt romney vorst now. the former governor of california arnold schwarzeneggar, stick around. ♪ jenna shared her recipe with sharon, who emailed it to emily, who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] .
rasmussen poll that the voters stands on the repeal of the health care law. 52 percent. 42 percent say bother. >> i am not surprised. the health care law lost popularity in the political campaign. but it is going to require a republican president and congress to undo the individual man date. if you are thinking can the supreme court rivisit the individual man date they can but probably won't. they >> gretchen: we could see more of the cases coming to them because of the 2700 pages....